THE EDGE: Five Reasons Joshua Clottey Will Not Be Able To Upset Manny Pacquiao (UPDATED POST)

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Manny Pacquiao v Miguel Cotto

(Joshua Clottey is a top-ranked welterweight with only three losses on his resume, but the tough Ghanaian also has a slew of flaws that Manny Pacquiao should be able exploit when the two meet in Dallas on March 13th, at Cowboys Stadium.)

1. Defense

In a strange paradox, Clottey has a strength—defense—that can often be a weakness in the ring. Against Pacquiao, his skill at tucking himself behind his gloves and blocking shots can also be considered a drawback. This tactic allows opponents to run off combinations and move away before Clottey can react, and a fighter as inventive and as busy as Pacquiao will certainly take advantage of this fact. Clottey tends to wait for his opponent to stop punching before he goes to work, but Pacquiao will be darting in and out so quickly that it might be hard for Clottey to connect with anything significant. Miguel Cotto managed to outmaneuver Clottey, and Cotto is nowhere near as fast or as elusive as Pacquiao is.

2. Right Hand

Aside from an occasional effective right uppercut, Clottey has a very weak right hand. Traditionally considered the weapon of choice against southpaws, right hands certainly caused Pacquiao no end of trouble against Juan Manuel Marquez. But Joshua Clottey is not Juan Manuel Marquez. Not only does Clottey slap with the right, but he also throws it as a strange double lead in a way peculiar to West African fighters and often falls off-balance in doing so. If Clottey ever developed a more effective right hand, he would be more than just trouble for the top welterweights in the world. As it stands now, however, his lack of a two-fisted offense will be a major advantage for Pacquiao.

3. Corner

Anyone with a worse corner than Miguel Cotto is bound to be in trouble during a major fight. And Clottey, whose training camp has been the subject of rumors for weeks, proved that during his close decision loss to Cotto last year. It will take a smart gameplan and a level head to tackle Pacquiao, and Clottey is simply outgunned in the trainer/corner department. Especially since Clottey is without his regular team for the biggest fight of his career. Usually it is Manny Pacquiao who makes headlines for distractions and chaos before a fight, but this time, it is Clottey who seems to have the edge in confusion. Clottey actually broke camp at one point to try to convince Ghanaian officials to issue a visa to his preferred trainer Godwin Dzanie Kotey. Daniel Clottey, his favored second, has also been denied a visa. At this point, there is no telling who will be in his corner come fight night, but it will certainly be a cut or two below Freddie Roach. UPDATE: Veteran trainer and cutman Lenny De Jesus is training Clottey at the moment, which will probably mean an improved corner for Clottey come fight night. De Jesus used to work the corner for Pacquiao, in fact, and might be able to impart a little extra knowledge to Clottey.

4. Speed

Although Clottey is not the slowest welterweight in the world, he will appear to be light years behind Pacquiao in the ring. Quick hands and quick feet—along with a unique improvisational style—are Pacquiao trademarks, and Clottey will have to struggle to keep up with the Filipino whirlwind. Since Clottey is not the type to punch with an opponent, preferring instead to cover up on the defensive, it will be that much harder for him to reach Pacquiao.

5. Pace

Because of his defensive outlook, Clottey does not set a fast enough pace in many bouts. In addition, his stamina has been questioned despite the fact that he has gone twelve rounds on several occasions. The real issue seems to be a loss of focus. At some point in most fights, Clottey will take his foot off of the accelerator and begin to coast. Needless to say, Manny Pacquiao, a buzzsaw between the ropes, is not the kind of fighter you can coast against. Clottey inexplicably failed to ramp up the pressure against a bloody Miguel Cotto during the late rounds and lost a hairline decision because of it. He will need to fight hard from bell to bell against Pacquiao or risk being overwhelmed and losing a lopsided decision.

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OK, deal....obviously, I'm no writer, but I can at least drink to the fact that I'm not Ron Borges either. Regardless, I don't want any part of the of the cliche dogs.

Hi JPF,

I gave the cliche dogs some lyle fitzsimmons chew toys, so they'll be calm for a while....

BTW, don't rub the number of cliches in that last post in my face if you can help it!

If you agree not to jinx the over/under on Pacquiao-Clottey, I promise to call off the cliche dogs....

CA ..I agree w/Clottey being a tough customer and a Pac KO being hard trick to pull. It's just that as JDL notes...it's the speed, in addition to the angles and 5-7 punch combos that I think gives Pac the chance to KO Clottey. Margs and Cotto tend to thud, Pac has explosive power. And the hardest punches are the ones you don't see coming.

It's rather easy to simulate the things that make Clottey a tough nut to crack in sparring, virtually impossible to duplicate what Pac brings.

Hi JPF,

I hear you, but I don't usually like to pick KO outcomes against fighters who have proven themselves to be sturdy. Like when folks were saying Pavlik was going to knock out Hopkins, it was like, Hopkins has never been KO'd in 20 years. I give the guy the benefit of the doubt until he shows signs of fragility. Pacquiao can punch at any weight, it seems, but Clottey is a much, much bigger fighter than he has ever faced. Clottey has fought in the 150s, which is awfully big...anyway, I might put some money on the over/under, so don't jinx me!

Hang in there, man. When Fansided.com puts you on the newsfeed, things will pick up.

The reason I think it may be a possibility that Pacman KO's Clottey, is that Pacquiao not only hits hard, but is fast as all hell. Speed kills, man and Pacman is "The Flash" of boxing. Clottey may have gotten away with it with Antonio "Plaster Of Paris" Margarito, but I think that Pacquiao will just overwhelm him with punches and break him down.

Yes! You have pictures! Hope The Cruelest Sport is close to being added to the Google newsfeed. It's a shame that such an excellent boxing blog is not coming up, when someone Googles "Boxing" or any boxing related subject.

Anyway, nice breakdown. I agree that Clottey's tendency to cover up and wait until an opponent has stopped punching, will greatly hurt his chances. He definitely cannot do that against, probably, the best boxer on the planet at the moment. I agree with JPF. I think Pacquiao will probably wear him down and stop him. Probably around the 7th or 8th rounds.

Hi JDL,

well, let's see what happens with TCS. If things don't pick up soon, I will just shut it down and be on my way. Hopefully, I can get on Google News, otherwise, it's pretty much pointless....I once got 120 comments for a piece I wrote and the most I've gotten since MVN shut down is four. I get more feedback on the forums of Boxrec.com and the only time I'm prominent on the web is when I write for other websites like Boxing Insider and The Boxing Bulletin.

I don't know if Pacquiao can stop Clottey. I doubt it, actually, since Clottey has faced some pretty big punchers without being stopped. After Clottey hurt his hand against Margarito in the early rounds it was basically one-way traffic, with Margarito laying it on Clottey for much of the second half of the fight and Clottey went the distance. So, I'm not sure that a KO is going to happen. It would be fun if Pacquiao tried to score one, though!

Wow, I don't check in for a couple days....and you've put up 3 posts over the weekend. That's gotta be a personal best for you! j/k

Clottey's lack of workrate is a recipe for disaster against Pacquiao. He had a every chance to beat Cotto in NY, and wouldn't/couldn't let his hands go. I can't imagine that's changed. You bring up some really good points re: the flipside to Clottey's "D" playing right into Pac's hands. He also seems to have a very high guard, and give up his body. I think Pac will eventually get him to bring his hands down and become the first guy to stop him.

Clottey is a very good fighter, I just really don't understand how he doesn't have his trainer/corner sorted at this point. Nevermind that he's fighting someone as good Pacquiao.

Anyway, I think Pacquiao takes this, once again in style. It's really not a bad matchup for Pacquiao to have made under the circumstances...considering Floyd had already fled...and the Mosley/Berto fight had yet to be cancelled.

Hi JPF,

Pictures, too, man, I got pictures!

Anyway, I anticipate a pretty good fight. Clottey is big, strong, and tough (also, he's from my old stamping grounds, THE BRONX), but he needs some professional development, in my opinion, to get to the next level and actually beat Pacquiao. A good right hand, a higher work rate, mix a little offense into his defense, and Clottey would be taking names and numbers. But at 33, he's probably not going to change much at this point. His footwork is a little too slow to keep up with Pacman, I think, but he'll give it a try.

Tune in tomorrow and see if I break my posting record of 5 consecutive days!